The IEPA Index / Methodology

    How the IEPA reads an economy.

    The Innovation Ecosystem Prosperity Assessment measures how well an economy turns its capabilities into prosperity. Six zones, each scored 0 to 100, combine into one composite, and every score carries a confidence band. This is how to read it, and how it's built.

    It's built for the institutions that make investment and development decisions: governments, investment promotion agencies, development finance, universities and investors. And it goes deliberately deep where other indices are thin: most of the economies it covers are emerging and developing markets, scored with honest confidence rather than left out.

    Live · 2024 editionTier 1
    161212102030
    Composite
    37.1
    🇰🇪 Kenya
    Rank #97 of 117
    Confidence 0.87
    Binding constraint: FDI Accelerator at 19.4
    Innovation1634.8
    Entrepreneurship1243.2
    Alignment1245.3
    Resilience1042.0
    FDI Accelerator2019.4
    Prosperity3042.7
    Arc length = zone weight · fill = zone score · inner ring = confidence
    117Economies scored
    6Zones, published separately
    2010to the present
    WeeklyRecomputed
    1
    §1 · Specimen

    How to read any market profile.

    Every scored economy gets the same readout. Five things to look at, in this order. Switch the specimen to see how differently the same layout reads.

    🇰🇪 Kenya
    Tier 1 · Sub-Saharan Africa · 2024 edition
    37.1COMPOSITE
    Innovation Capacity34.8
    Entrepreneurship Capacity43.2
    Alignment45.3
    Resilience42.0
    FDI Accelerator19.4
    Prosperity Outcomes42.7
    RANK #97 OF 117CONFIDENCE 0.87 · SOLID
    12345
    Open the full Kenya profile →
    1. 1

      The six zones

      Each zone is scored 0 to 100 on its own. Read these first: they show where the system converts well and where it stalls.

    2. 2

      The binding constraint

      The lowest-scoring zone, highlighted. The first place to look when capability isn't turning into prosperity.

    3. 3

      The composite

      The six zones combined by weight into one 0 to 100 number. Always published alongside the zones, never in place of them.

    4. 4

      Confidence

      How solid the score is, from 0 to 1. At 0.85 and above it's solid; below 0.60 it's flagged.

    5. 5

      Tier, edition and rank

      Which evidence set the economy is scored on, which year you're reading, and where it sits among all 117.

    Read the zones first, the composite second and the rank last.
    2
    §2 · Table of zones

    Six elements of a prosperous economy.

    The Foundations are what an economy builds. The Engine is how those foundations attract investment. The Outcomes are what people actually experience. The large number on each tile is its weight, its share of the composite. The bar underneath shows the median score across all 117 economies. Tap a tile.

    Foundations · 50 points
    Engine · 20
    Outcomes · 30
    Engine · weight 20

    FDI Accelerator

    050100 median Singapore 82.9Denmark 79.8Hong Kong 97.3Sweden 76.8Norway 56.2Switzerland 50.7Malta 89.7Luxembourg 87.0Netherlands 56.9UAE 76.4Finland 62.7South Korea 51.3Czech Republic 77.2Canada 48.6Ireland 52.5Belgium 55.7Austria 67.8Slovenia 75.5Australia 38.0Portugal 69.9United States 38.3Lithuania 85.2Germany 56.0United Kingdom 29.4Estonia 53.4France 43.2Croatia 77.8Malaysia 66.2Slovakia 77.7Cyprus 47.7Israel 47.3Poland 60.9New Zealand 24.1Bahrain 86.4Latvia 76.8Spain 50.4Georgia 75.7Qatar 45.1Bulgaria 66.6Thailand 62.9Mongolia 87.4Japan 18.8Chile 52.5Mauritius 79.2Serbia 80.7Vietnam 67.6Greece 61.5Hungary 52.0Italy 35.7Saudi Arabia 43.9Costa Rica 61.3Oman 60.0Kuwait 45.7China 9.5Armenia 58.0Romania 49.7Kazakhstan 29.3Uruguay 17.8Turkey 39.6Brazil 31.7Panama 54.9Indonesia 41.0Philippines 49.8Cambodia 75.5Namibia 85.2Mexico 47.8Ukraine 51.9Russia 9.1India 45.7Morocco 49.2Jamaica 42.6Senegal 66.5Dominican Republic 45.7Kyrgyzstan 58.8Paraguay 51.0Uzbekistan 43.5Colombia 33.5Peru 34.0Tunisia 56.7Jordan 63.3Botswana 52.1Trinidad and Tobago 26.4Azerbaijan 41.9South Africa 28.7Ghana 46.8Rwanda 57.0Egypt 51.0Argentina 19.3Lebanon 82.4Sri Lanka 22.1Cote d'Ivoire 42.4Ecuador 23.2Zambia 66.7Uganda 48.4Libya 59.6Tanzania 29.7Kenya 19.4Iran 17.8Guatemala 28.1Mozambique 75.3Bolivia 16.2Venezuela 3.4Tajikistan 41.6Turkmenistan 19.4Nigeria 24.2Madagascar 47.4DR Congo 63.1Ethiopia 25.7Bangladesh 12.1Algeria 11.9Nepal 12.9Angola 19.5Cameroon 19.7Iraq 32.5Pakistan 15.0Zimbabwe 18.8Myanmar 28.6 Kenya Hong Kong

    How effectively the foundations convert into inbound investment: investment inflows relative to the size of the economy, openness to trade, logistics and investor confidence.

    20points of 10049.8median of 11797.3highest: Hong Kong
    3
    §3 · Method

    Five steps, every economy, every week.

    The same recipe runs for Singapore and for Kenya. Nothing is hand-tuned for a single market.

    1

    One scale

    Each indicator is normalized to 0 to 100, with direction handled so higher always means better. A lower unemployment rate scores higher, for example.

    Kenya: 64 indicators in play
    2

    Six zones

    A zone score is the weighted average of the most recent reading of each of its indicators, looking back up to four years so one late release doesn't blank a score.

    Kenya: 34.8 · 43.2 · 45.3 · 42.0 · 19.4 · 42.7
    3

    One composite

    The zones combine by weight: 16, 12, 12, 10, 20 and 30 points. If a zone has no evidence, the other weights are rescaled instead of a number being invented.

    Kenya: 37.1 composite
    4

    Qualify it

    Every score gets a confidence band, and the lowest zone is named as the binding constraint, so the number is never read without its context.

    Kenya: 0.87 · FDI Accelerator
    5

    Keep the evidence

    Open any zone on a market profile to see the indicators, their data year and the normalized values behind the number.

    Every score traces back
    4
    §4 · Case study

    Same score. Different stories.

    A single number hides the thing that matters most: where an economy is stuck. These economies share a composite, yet they have opposite shapes and need opposite strategies. The hatched bar marks each one's binding constraint.

    Tier 2 · Southeast Asia

    🇰🇭 Cambodia

    50.5
    ≈
    Tier 1 · Southeast Asia

    Philippines 🇵🇭

    50.6
    25.9
    InnovationInnov.
    53.2
    35.1
    EntrepreneurshipEntrep.
    41.8
    37.8
    AlignmentAlign.
    49.8
    41.3
    ResilienceResil.
    45.1
    75.5
    FDI AcceleratorFDI
    49.8
    61.2
    ProsperityProsp.
    55.3

    Cambodia spans 50 points, from FDI Accelerator at 75.5 down to its binding constraint, Innovation Capacity at 25.9.

    Philippines spans 14 points, from Prosperity Outcomes at 55.3 down to Entrepreneurship Capacity at 41.8. Same headline, a different first move.

    5
    §5 · Confidence and coverage

    A score is only as good as its evidence.

    Every score carries a confidence value from 0 to 1. Half of it reflects how much of the expected evidence is present, three tenths the quality tier of that evidence and one fifth how recent it is, all scaled by how much of the composite's weight is actually covered.

    Extended coverage
    Moderate
    Solid
    0.000.200.400.600.851.00
    0.65Turkmenistan
    0.78Namibia
    0.87Kenya
    0.85 and above

    Solid

    Deep, recent evidence across the zones.

    0.60 to 0.84

    Moderate

    Scored with some gaps or older evidence. Read with care.

    Below 0.60

    Extended coverage

    Thin evidence. Published so the economy isn't invisible, and flagged so it isn't over-read.

    117economies scored, from 2010 to the present
    32curated: 5 Benchmark, 13 Tier 1 and 14 Tier 2, on the deepest evidence set
    85in the Extended tier, on indicators that exist for nearly every economy
    51US jurisdictions, the 50 states and DC, scored on the same six zones and normalized against other states. Explore the US layer →
    6
    §6 · Editions

    When a score is final.

    Economic evidence is published with a lag, so the IEPA separates a final edition from current estimates. Here are real trajectories: solid through the 2024 final edition, dashed where the evidence is still arriving.

    Final edition

    2024

    The most recent year IE treats as complete. The headline year on every profile.

    Current estimates

    2025 to 2026

    Built from each indicator's most recent reading within four years. They firm up as evidence arrives.

    Recompute

    Every week

    Every score is recalculated weekly, so a profile is always the current reading.

    Evidence refresh

    Once a year

    The underlying evidence is refreshed as new editions are released, typically once a year.

    7
    §7 · Field notes

    What the IEPA is, and isn't.

    Not a verdict

    A diagnostic

    It isn't a verdict on a country. It shows where an economy's system converts well and where it stalls.

    Not investment advice

    Evidence for strategy

    It's evidence to inform strategy, used alongside local knowledge.

    Not static

    A current reading

    Scores update as new evidence is published, so a profile is a current reading, not a permanent grade.

    §8 · Glossary · tap a card

    IEPA

    No. 01 · tap to define
    The Innovation Ecosystem Prosperity Assessment: six zones and a composite, each 0 to 100, with a confidence band on every score.

    Zone

    No. 02 · tap to define
    One of six dimensions: Innovation Capacity, Entrepreneurship Capacity, Alignment, Resilience, the FDI Accelerator and Prosperity Outcomes.

    Composite score

    No. 03 · tap to define
    The weighted combination of the six zone scores. Always published alongside the zones, never in place of them.

    Binding constraint

    No. 04 · tap to define
    An economy's lowest-scoring zone. The first place to look when capability isn't turning into prosperity.

    Confidence band

    No. 05 · tap to define
    How solid a score is, from 0 to 1: how much evidence is present, its quality and how recent it is.

    Curated tier

    No. 06 · tap to define
    Benchmark, Tier 1 and Tier 2 economies, scored on the deepest evidence set. The rest are in the Extended tier.

    Final edition

    No. 07 · tap to define
    The most recent year IE treats as complete, currently 2024. Later years are current estimates.

    Current estimate

    No. 08 · tap to define
    A score for a year whose evidence is still arriving, using each indicator's most recent reading within four years.

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    IE builds regional assessments, dashboards and innovation programs on this method.

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